Shanghai Shenhua 3-1 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.33
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.66
6+ Goals
13%
6.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.57
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
19.15
X/1
15%
3.96
X/2
7%
17.15
X/X
15%
7.82
2/1 EV+ ✓
8%
20.8
2/2
7%
14.05
2/X
6%
22.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.8 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-14.1pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.2pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
394 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 76%
38.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.1 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.06.2023 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 1-2 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
3-1
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
4.26 xG 0.54
70% Ball Possession 30%
36 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
16 Corners 1
466 Passes 148
84% Pass Accuracy 63%
67 Box Touches 14
46 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua saw off Yunnan Yukun 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shanghai Shenhua as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 70% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 30%, shots finished 36-9, expected goals 4.26 to 0.54.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun?

Shanghai Shenhua 3-1 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 56%, draw 25%, Yunnan Yukun 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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