Changchun YaTai 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 Apr 2025

Changchun YaTai
1-1 HT 1-1
Wuhan Three Towns
📅02/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2025

Changchun YaTai vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.33
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 29% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.49
1/2
11%
27.5
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
31%
5.74
X/2
13%
6.2
X/X
8%
5.08
2/1
4%
25.5
2/2
10%
3.94
2/X
8%
12.65
Value flag · X/1 at 5.74 — our 31% vs market 13.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
39%
+5.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.1pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Changchun YaTai v Wuhan Three Towns — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 38%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.32/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.25
+22% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +61%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
13.2 Crosses 18.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Changchun YaTai vs Wuhan Three Towns Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.07 xG 1.84
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
240 Passes 409
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-0 HT 2-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
20.04.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 0-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
04.11.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 3-4 HT 1-4 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
08.07.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-1 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
30.11.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-3 HT 0-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
20.09.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-2 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN

Changchun YaTai 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
1-1
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
0.67 xG 1.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
278 Passes 194
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changchun YaTai and Wuhan Three Towns couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Changchun YaTai at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 55% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 45%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.67 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Changchun YaTai and 1.67 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Changchun YaTai 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changchun YaTai win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 45%, draw 21%, Wuhan Three Towns 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Changchun YaTai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Changchun YaTai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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