Shanghai Port 2-1 Meizhou Hakka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
4.58
Over 2.5
70%
1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.39
No
32%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
12.3
2-3 Goals
33%
2.88
4-5 Goals
33%
2.24
6+ Goals
23%
2.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1.48
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
3%
18.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
34%
4.54
X/2
6%
18.3
X/X
14%
12.0
2/1
6%
14.9
2/2
9%
12.05
2/X
6%
21.45
Value flag · X/1 at 4.54 — our 34% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-13.1pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.4pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.7pp
30%
Under 2.5
18%
+11.6pp
70%
Over 2.5
82%
-11.6pp
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
+0.4pp
32%
BTTS No
32%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 16%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.40/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.75
+32% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
453 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
43.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
25.7 Crosses 12.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.77 xG 0.77
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
390 Passes 308
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 7-2 HT 4-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
18.06.2024 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-2 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
18.08.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-1 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
20.05.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-2 HT 0-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
15.12.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
24.10.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 7-0 HT 3-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
2-1
AWAY Meizhou Hakka
1.78 xG 0.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
300 Passes 279
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Meizhou Hakka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port edged past Meizhou Hakka 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 50% of the ball to Meizhou Hakka's 50%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.78 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shanghai Port's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Shanghai Port and 0.67 for Meizhou Hakka.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Meizhou Hakka?

Shanghai Port 2-1 Meizhou Hakka in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Meizhou Hakka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 59%, draw 23%, Meizhou Hakka 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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