Pro Patria 1-2 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.36
6+ Goals
8%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
0.98/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.21
-15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Atalanta II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 2-1 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
07.04.2024 Atalanta II Atalanta II 4-1 HT 3-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
02.12.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
1-2
AWAY Atalanta II
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II edged past Pro Patria 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Atalanta II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pro Patria had 42% of the ball to Atalanta II's 58%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atalanta II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pro Patria and 2.00 for Atalanta II.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Atalanta II?

Pro Patria 1-2 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Patria win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 39%, draw 28%, Atalanta II 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pro Patria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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