Alta 2-1 LAFC II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 2 Apr 2025

Alta
2-1 HT 0-0
LAFC II
📅02/04/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alta EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY LAFC II EU Bookmakers 29%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+44% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alta
2-1
AWAY LAFC II
2.23 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
451 Passes 362
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alta vs LAFC II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alta squeezed past LAFC II 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alta as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Alta had 54% of the ball to LAFC II's 46%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.23 to 0.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Alta's control.

What was the final score of Alta vs LAFC II?

Alta 2-1 LAFC II in the USA - Open Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alta vs LAFC II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alta win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Alta 47%, draw 27%, LAFC II 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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