Hamburg II 2-3 Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.51
Over 2.5
43%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
36%
+20.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
64%
-20.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübeck EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
2.39/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.03
+44% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lübeck
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Lübeck Lübeck 1-0 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
25.11.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 2-1 HT 1-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
15.09.2022 Hamburg II Hamburg II 1-1 HT 1-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
21.11.2021 Hamburg II Hamburg II 3-0 HT 2-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
22.09.2021 Lübeck Lübeck 2-2 HT 0-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
28.09.2019 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-3 HT 2-2 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hamburg II vs Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübeck nicked a narrow win over Hamburg II 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hamburg II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lübeck led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hamburg II and 1.50 for Lübeck.

What was the final score of Hamburg II vs Lübeck?

Hamburg II 2-3 Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg II vs Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hamburg II 45%, draw 27%, Lübeck 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg II) ✗ Under 2.5
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