Mainz 05 II 3-0 FSV Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.50/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.39
-10% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FSV Frankfurt
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 1-0 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
06.04.2024 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 2-3 HT 2-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
03.10.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-0 HT 2-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
04.04.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-1 HT 1-1 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
05.10.2022 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 2-1 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
19.02.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-0 HT 1-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs FSV Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II ran out comfortable winners over FSV Frankfurt 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Mainz 05 II made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mainz 05 II and 1.00 for FSV Frankfurt.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs FSV Frankfurt?

Mainz 05 II 3-0 FSV Frankfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs FSV Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 36%, draw 28%, FSV Frankfurt 36%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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