FSV Frankfurt 1-0 Mainz 05 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.6pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 42%
+14% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.96/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.52
+33% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
362 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Frankfurt
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 2-3 HT 2-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
03.10.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-0 HT 2-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
04.04.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-1 HT 1-1 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
05.10.2022 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 2-1 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
19.02.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-0 HT 1-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
10.09.2021 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 1-2 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FSV Frankfurt vs Mainz 05 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Frankfurt squeezed past Mainz 05 II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day FSV Frankfurt made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FSV Frankfurt and 2.00 for Mainz 05 II.

What was the final score of FSV Frankfurt vs Mainz 05 II?

FSV Frankfurt 1-0 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Frankfurt vs Mainz 05 II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FSV Frankfurt 36%, draw 27%, Mainz 05 II 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✗ BTTS Yes
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