FSV Frankfurt 2-3 Mainz 05 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.03
Over 2.5
42%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.6
No
56%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.2pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.56/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.36
-8% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Frankfurt
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.10.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-0 HT 2-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
04.04.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-1 HT 1-1 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
05.10.2022 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 2-1 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
19.02.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-0 HT 1-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
10.09.2021 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 1-2 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
04.05.2021 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-3 HT 0-2 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FSV Frankfurt
2-3
AWAY Mainz 05 II
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FSV Frankfurt vs Mainz 05 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II nicked a narrow win over FSV Frankfurt 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Mainz 05 II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FSV Frankfurt had 33% of the ball to Mainz 05 II's 67%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FSV Frankfurt and 1.67 for Mainz 05 II.

What was the final score of FSV Frankfurt vs Mainz 05 II?

FSV Frankfurt 2-3 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Frankfurt vs Mainz 05 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FSV Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FSV Frankfurt 39%, draw 29%, Mainz 05 II 32%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FSV Frankfurt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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