Lübeck 1-0 Hamburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
32%
4.08
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.33
Over 2.5
46%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.6pp
32%
Draw
21%
+10.5pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.1pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
2.22/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.19
+3% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
450 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hamburg II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 2-1 HT 1-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
15.09.2022 Hamburg II Hamburg II 1-1 HT 1-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
21.11.2021 Hamburg II Hamburg II 3-0 HT 2-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
22.09.2021 Lübeck Lübeck 2-2 HT 0-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
28.09.2019 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-3 HT 2-2 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
15.11.2014 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-2 HT 1-2 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs Hamburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübeck nicked a narrow win over Hamburg II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lübeck as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lübeck had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lübeck and 1.83 for Hamburg II.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs Hamburg II?

Lübeck 1-0 Hamburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs Hamburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 50%, draw 32%, Hamburg II 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lübeck), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lübeck) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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