Feyenoord 4-1 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 2 Apr 2025

Feyenoord
4-1 HT 2-1
Groningen
📅02/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Feyenoord vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.35
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
14%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 27% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.74
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
18.3
X/1
15%
3.8
X/2
8%
14.45
X/X
13%
5.92
2/1
9%
24.2
2/2
9%
12.95
2/X
6%
21.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Feyenoord win — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Feyenoord v Groningen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.97/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.11
-5% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
422 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
34.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.9 Crosses 12.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Feyenoord vs Groningen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Groningen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.17 xG 0.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
454 Passes 216
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
42 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Groningen Groningen 2-2 HT 0-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
29.02.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-1 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOK
04.03.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-0 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
15.01.2023 Groningen Groningen 0-3 HT 0-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
05.03.2022 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-1 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
12.12.2021 Groningen Groningen 1-1 HT 0-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL

Feyenoord 4-1 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
4-1
AWAY Groningen
1.19 xG 0.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 1
458 Passes 496
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Box Touches 12
6 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs Groningen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord swept aside Groningen 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Feyenoord had 48% of the ball to Groningen's 52%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.19 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Feyenoord and 0.83 for Groningen.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs Groningen?

Feyenoord 4-1 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 52%, draw 26%, Groningen 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✗ Under 2.5
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