Groningen 2-2 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.63
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.33
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
6.89
1/2
9%
22.7
1/X
8%
15.3
X/1
9%
9.09
X/2
18%
4.02
X/X
12%
5.27
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.23
2/X
7%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.9pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Groningen EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 57%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
0.64/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.05
-44% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
13.5 Crosses 18.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Groningen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Feyenoord
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.52 xG 2.26
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
200 Passes 492
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 44
9 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.02.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-1 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOK
04.03.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-0 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
15.01.2023 Groningen Groningen 0-3 HT 0-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
05.03.2022 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-1 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
12.12.2021 Groningen Groningen 1-1 HT 0-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
24.02.2021 Groningen Groningen 0-0 HT 0-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groningen
2-2
AWAY Feyenoord
0.99 xG 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
264 Passes 304
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Groningen vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groningen and Feyenoord shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Feyenoord at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Groningen had 47% of the ball to Feyenoord's 53%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.99 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Groningen and 1.33 for Feyenoord.

What was the final score of Groningen vs Feyenoord?

Groningen 2-2 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Groningen vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated an Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Groningen 28%, draw 27%, Feyenoord 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Feyenoord) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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