PSV Eindhoven 2-0 NEC Nijmegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 Sep 2024

PSV Eindhoven
2-0 HT 2-0
NEC Nijmegen
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.18
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.46
Over 2.5
65%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
8.58
2-3 Goals
36%
2.38
4-5 Goals
29%
2.37
6+ Goals
16%
3.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.3
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
28.0
X/1
24%
3.68
X/2
7%
29.0
X/X
9%
12.0
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.85
2/2
5%
19.55
2/X
7%
26.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.85 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
79%
-18.8pp
21%
Draw
12%
+8.9pp
18%
Away Win
8%
+10.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
25%
+10.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
75%
-10.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSV Eindhoven v NEC Nijmegen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +21%
2.84/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.31
+20% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +23%
63% Ball Possession 37%
25 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
542 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
43.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
23.7 Crosses 10.8
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
5W-0D-1L
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
3.55 xG 0.90
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
508 Passes 297
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
40 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.03.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-1 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
16.09.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-0 HT 2-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
01.04.2023 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2-4 HT 0-3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
30.10.2022 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-0 HT 1-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
11.05.2022 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-2 HT 2-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
12.12.2021 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-2 HT 1-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL

PSV Eindhoven 2-0 NEC Nijmegen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
2-0
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
2.99 xG 0.12
77% Ball Possession 23%
26 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 3
627 Passes 123
90% Pass Accuracy 61%
69 Box Touches 10
58 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven beat NEC Nijmegen 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 77% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 23%, shots finished 26-2, expected goals 2.99 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 1.33 for NEC Nijmegen.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen?

PSV Eindhoven 2-0 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 61%, draw 21%, NEC Nijmegen 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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