Twente 1-1 PEC Zwolle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.32
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.51
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
21.45
X/1
21%
3.55
X/2
5%
18.95
X/X
7%
8.17
2/1
10%
21.25
2/2
4%
14.0
2/X
5%
21.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
71%
-4.5pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.6pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+2.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +7%
2.25/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.52
-3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
419 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
37.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
25.2 Crosses 11.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
5W-0D-1L
AWAY PEC Zwolle
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.68 xG 1.01
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
348 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-2 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
20.08.2023 Twente Twente 3-1 HT 1-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
19.03.2022 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 1-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
18.12.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-3 HT 0-2 Twente Twente HOL
10.04.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-0 HT 1-0 Twente Twente HOL
31.10.2020 Twente Twente 5-1 HT 3-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
1-1
AWAY PEC Zwolle
2.91 xG 0.52
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
484 Passes 276
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
42 Box Touches 11
34 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Twente vs PEC Zwolle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente and PEC Zwolle couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Twente carried 67% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Twente had 61% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 39%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 2.91 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Twente and 0.83 for PEC Zwolle.

What was the final score of Twente vs PEC Zwolle?

Twente 1-1 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs PEC Zwolle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Twente 67%, draw 19%, PEC Zwolle 14%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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