NAC Breda vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NAC Breda v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals
NAC Breda vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
NAC Breda
HOL
2-3
HT 1-1
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
0-2
HT 0-0
NAC Breda
HOL2
3-1
HT 2-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL2
5-0
HT 3-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-2
NAC Breda
HOL2
NAC Breda 1-0 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics
NAC Breda squeezed past Fortuna Sittard 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; NAC Breda found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, NAC Breda had 52% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 48%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.63 to 0.61.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NAC Breda had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for NAC Breda and 1.17 for Fortuna Sittard.
What was the final score of NAC Breda vs Fortuna Sittard?
NAC Breda 1-0 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs Fortuna Sittard?
Before kick-off our model rated a NAC Breda win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 37%, draw 28%, Fortuna Sittard 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NAC Breda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.