AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v Heerenveen — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Heerenveen
HOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Heerenveen
HOL
0-2
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Heerenveen
HOL
3-2
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
AZ Alkmaar 9-1 Heerenveen — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar cruised past Heerenveen 9-1. Half-time: 2-1. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 9-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 45% of the ball to Heerenveen's 55%, shots finished 26-15, expected goals 5.23 to 1.93.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.00 for Heerenveen.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen?
AZ Alkmaar 9-1 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 52%, draw 27%, Heerenveen 21%. The final score 9-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.