FC Sheriff 4-1 CSF Balti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - Cup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.34
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-14.3pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.4pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+9.4pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.87/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/5.00
-28% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -65%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CSF Balti
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-0 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
18.05.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
13.04.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-0 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
03.12.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
30.09.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-0 HT 3-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
22.04.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
4-1
AWAY CSF Balti
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs CSF Balti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff ran out comfortable winners over CSF Balti 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 58% of the ball to CSF Balti's 42%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.83 for CSF Balti.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs CSF Balti?

FC Sheriff 4-1 CSF Balti in the Moldova - Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs CSF Balti?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 56%, draw 25%, CSF Balti 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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