Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-1 Olimpia Elblag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.1
6+ Goals
8%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 25%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.00/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.53
-42% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
521 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 164 · 61%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.07.2024 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 1-1 HT 1-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
17.03.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-2 HT 0-1 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
02.09.2023 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 2-1 HT 1-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
26.10.2022 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-2 HT 0-1 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
0-1
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Olimpia Elblag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Elblag squeezed past Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Jastrzebie Zdroj at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Jastrzebie Zdroj had 59% of the ball to Olimpia Elblag's 41%, shots finished 15-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Olimpia Elblag led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Jastrzebie Zdroj and 1.75 for Olimpia Elblag.

What was the final score of Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Olimpia Elblag?

Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-1 Olimpia Elblag in the Poland - 2nd Division on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Olimpia Elblag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jastrzebie Zdroj win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jastrzebie Zdroj 48%, draw 28%, Olimpia Elblag 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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