Torreense U23 4-0 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense U23 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 26%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.34
+17% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense U23
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Estrela U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.01.2025 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 PORU23
16.04.2024 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 2-0 HT 0-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
13.02.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 1-1 HT 1-0 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense U23
4-0
AWAY Estrela U23
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Torreense U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense U23 ran out comfortable winners over Estrela U23 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Torreense U23 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Torreense U23 had 57% of the ball to Estrela U23's 43%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torreense U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Torreense U23 and 0.33 for Estrela U23.

What was the final score of Torreense U23 vs Estrela U23?

Torreense U23 4-0 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torreense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Torreense U23 45%, draw 30%, Estrela U23 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torreense U23) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torreense U23) ✗ Under 2.5
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