Estrela U23 0-1 Torreense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense U23 EU Bookmakers 45%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.56/2.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+13% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
252 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela U23
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Torreense U23
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.04.2024 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 2-0 HT 0-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
13.02.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 1-1 HT 1-0 Torreense U23 Torreense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
0-1
AWAY Torreense U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Torreense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense U23 nicked a narrow win over Estrela U23 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Torreense U23 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 51% of the ball to Torreense U23's 49%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Torreense U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Estrela U23 and 1.50 for Torreense U23.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Torreense U23?

Estrela U23 0-1 Torreense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Torreense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estrela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 40%, draw 23%, Torreense U23 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estrela U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estrela U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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