Sporting Braga U23 3-0 Leixoes U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.7pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.74/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.36
+14% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga U23
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Leixoes U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 0-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 UŞGA
08.10.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 2-2 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 UŞGA
11.03.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-4 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
22.01.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 3-1 HT 3-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
19.12.2023 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 2-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
09.10.2023 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga U23
3-0
AWAY Leixoes U23
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga U23 vs Leixoes U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 ran out comfortable winners over Leixoes U23 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Braga U23 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sporting Braga U23 had 61% of the ball to Leixoes U23's 39%, shots finished 19-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga U23 had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sporting Braga U23 and 0.67 for Leixoes U23.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Sporting Braga U23 3-0 Leixoes U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga U23 49%, draw 29%, Leixoes U23 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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