Leixoes U23 1-4 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
45%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
21%
+11.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
45%
Away Win
56%
-11.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 61%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes U23
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
22.01.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 3-1 HT 3-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
19.12.2023 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 2-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
09.10.2023 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
1-4
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 13
1 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 swept aside Leixoes U23 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Braga U23 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 35% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 65%, shots finished 7-28.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga U23 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Leixoes U23 and 2.00 for Sporting Braga U23.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Leixoes U23 1-4 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 32%, draw 23%, Sporting Braga U23 45%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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