Portimonense U23 1-2 Academico Viseu U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
40%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+8.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.2pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Academico Viseu U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.33
-42% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Academico Viseu U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.01.2024 Academico Viseu U23 Academico Viseu U23 2-0 HT 1-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
1-2
AWAY Academico Viseu U23
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Academico Viseu U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academico Viseu U23 squeezed past Portimonense U23 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Academico Viseu U23 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 41% of the ball to Academico Viseu U23's 59%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Academico Viseu U23?

Portimonense U23 1-2 Academico Viseu U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Academico Viseu U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academico Viseu U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 31%, draw 27%, Academico Viseu U23 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academico Viseu U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academico Viseu U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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