Farense U23 2-1 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 45%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.00
-42% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Santa Clara U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.01.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 6-1 HT 2-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
12.12.2023 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
22.09.2023 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-1 HT 2-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
2-1
AWAY Santa Clara U23
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 squeezed past Santa Clara U23 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Farense U23 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Farense U23 had 46% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 54%, shots finished 16-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Farense U23 and 2.67 for Santa Clara U23.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Farense U23 2-1 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 32%, draw 31%, Santa Clara U23 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santa Clara U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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