Mafra U23 1-2 Academico Viseu U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Academico Viseu U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.08/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.61
-25% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +119%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra U23
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Academico Viseu U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.03.2024 Academico Viseu U23 Academico Viseu U23 1-6 HT 1-3 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
17.01.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Academico Viseu U23 Academico Viseu U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra U23
1-2
AWAY Academico Viseu U23
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mafra U23 vs Academico Viseu U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academico Viseu U23 edged past Mafra U23 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Academico Viseu U23 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mafra U23 had 48% of the ball to Academico Viseu U23's 52%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Mafra U23 and 1.00 for Academico Viseu U23.

What was the final score of Mafra U23 vs Academico Viseu U23?

Mafra U23 1-2 Academico Viseu U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra U23 vs Academico Viseu U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academico Viseu U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mafra U23 29%, draw 26%, Academico Viseu U23 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academico Viseu U23) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academico Viseu U23) ✗ BTTS No
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