Portimonense U23 0-2 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
14%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
42%
-12.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.9pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.00/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.88
-46% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
459 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Rio Ave U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 1-1 HT 1-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
29.01.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
0-2
AWAY Rio Ave U23
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 beat Portimonense U23 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Rio Ave U23 made the difference. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 46% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 54%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Portimonense U23 and 1.00 for Rio Ave U23.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Portimonense U23 0-2 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 30%, draw 31%, Rio Ave U23 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rio Ave U23), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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