Vizela U23 4-1 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.75/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.49
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela U23
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Estoril U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.04.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
20.02.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 3-0 HT 1-0 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela U23
4-1
AWAY Estoril U23
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vizela U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela U23 swept aside Estoril U23 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Estoril U23 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Vizela U23 had 53% of the ball to Estoril U23's 47%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Estoril U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Vizela U23 and 1.50 for Estoril U23.

What was the final score of Vizela U23 vs Estoril U23?

Vizela U23 4-1 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vizela U23 33%, draw 26%, Estoril U23 41%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estoril U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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