Gil Vicente U23 0-3 Famalicao U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.0
Over 2.5
39%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.63
No
59%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
46%
+14.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
54%
-14.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
57%
-16.2pp
59%
BTTS No
43%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.76/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.00
+4% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +71%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Famalicao U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.12.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-2 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 UŞGA
25.09.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 2-3 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 UŞGA
25.04.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 0-1 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
20.02.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-4 HT 1-2 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
0-3
AWAY Famalicao U23
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Famalicao U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 cruised past Gil Vicente U23 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day Famalicao U23 made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 46% of the ball to Famalicao U23's 54%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gil Vicente U23 and 2.00 for Famalicao U23.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Gil Vicente U23 0-3 Famalicao U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 39%, draw 23%, Famalicao U23 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Gil Vicente U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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