Leixoes U23 2-2 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 8 Oct 2024

📅08/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.6
No
64%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
58%
-22.1pp
64%
BTTS No
42%
+22.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 54%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-35% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
266 · 61% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes U23
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.03.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-4 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
22.01.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 3-1 HT 3-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
19.12.2023 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 2-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
09.10.2023 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
2-2
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes U23 and Sporting Braga U23 shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga U23 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 40% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 60%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga U23 led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Leixoes U23 and 2.50 for Sporting Braga U23.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Leixoes U23 2-2 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 26%, draw 25%, Sporting Braga U23 49%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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UŞGA More Portugal - U23 National Championship
8 Oct 2024
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