Trabzonspor 3-2 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.25
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
21%
4.36
X/2
10%
9.42
X/X
11%
5.26
2/1
6%
22.9
2/2
11%
7.36
2/X
6%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 24%
+20% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.65/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.92
+32% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bodrum FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.80 xG 2.30
74% Ball Possession 26%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
511 Passes 124
87% Pass Accuracy 62%
23 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
3-2
AWAY Bodrum FK
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor squeezed past Bodrum FK 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 57% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 43%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Bodrum FK?

Trabzonspor 3-2 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 52%, draw 22%, Bodrum FK 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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