Trabzonspor 1-0 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
11.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.18 — our 27% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.17
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
13%
4.03
X/2
7%
9.85
X/X
9%
5.38
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
23.0
2/2
12%
7.47
2/X
8%
15.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 13% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.83/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.56
+30% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
394 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
19.1 Crosses 13.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
1-0
AWAY Bodrum FK
0.80 xG 2.30
74% Ball Possession 26%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
511 Passes 124
87% Pass Accuracy 62%
23 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor edged past Bodrum FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 74% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 26%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.80 to 2.30 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bodrum FK.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Bodrum FK?

Trabzonspor 1-0 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - Super League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 52%, draw 24%, Bodrum FK 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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