Gaziantep FK 2-0 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.67
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.8
X/1
16%
4.68
X/2
7%
7.77
X/X
10%
4.89
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
12%
5.47
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.43/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.47
-7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
20.8 Crosses 17.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.32 xG 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 Passes 407
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
21.10.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
04.02.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
26.08.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 5-2 HT 1-2 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
23.01.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
13.09.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
2-0
AWAY Antalyaspor
2.09 xG 1.64
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
267 Passes 340
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK beat Antalyaspor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gaziantep FK as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 45% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 55%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.09 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gaziantep FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gaziantep FK and 0.67 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Antalyaspor?

Gaziantep FK 2-0 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 47%, draw 28%, Antalyaspor 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gaziantep FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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