Kayserispor 1-5 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
60%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.65
2-3 Goals
42%
2.13
4-5 Goals
26%
2.41
6+ Goals
14%
4.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
10.35
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
19.05
1/X
5%
18.35
X/1
7%
15.8
X/2
23%
3.91
X/X
7%
8.47
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.62
2/X
5%
18.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.05 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+9.1pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.6pp
60%
Away Win
67%
-7.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 71%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.13/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.08
+37% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +13%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.4
18.2 Crosses 22.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Galatasaray
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.16 xG 2.11
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
235 Passes 440
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 37
12 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
12.08.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-0 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
14.04.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 6-0 HT 4-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
15.10.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-1 HT 2-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
12.02.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-1 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
22.09.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 3-0 HT 2-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
1-5
AWAY Galatasaray
1.72 xG 2.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 11
7 Corners 7
252 Passes 270
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray ran out comfortable winners over Kayserispor 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Kayserispor had 50% of the ball to Galatasaray's 50%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 1.72 to 2.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kayserispor and 1.67 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Galatasaray?

Kayserispor 1-5 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 23%, draw 17%, Galatasaray 60%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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