Göztepe 3-0 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.67
6+ Goals
11%
15.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
20%
5.0
X/2
10%
6.52
X/X
11%
4.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
28.0
2/2
13%
4.71
2/X
6%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
1.72/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.45
-2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.4 Crosses 18.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.67 xG 1.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
304 Passes 336
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2023 Göztepe Göztepe 3-3 HT 2-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor T1L
16.12.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-2 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
01.05.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 1-7 HT 1-3 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
11.12.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-1 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
06.04.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 2-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
12.12.2020 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-2 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
3-0
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.80 xG 0.43
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
203 Passes 384
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe swept aside Çaykur Rizespor 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Göztepe as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Göztepe had 38% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 62%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.80 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Çaykur Rizespor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Göztepe and 2.67 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Göztepe 3-0 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 46%, draw 24%, Çaykur Rizespor 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göztepe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Göztepe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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