Khonkaen Utd vs Muang Thong United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Khonkaen Utd v Muang Thong United — Team-Based Signals
Khonkaen Utd vs Muang Thong United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Muang Thong United
TAY
2-1
HT 1-0
Muang Thong United
TAY
3-1
HT 0-1
Khonkaen Utd
TAY
Khonkaen Utd 2-1 Muang Thong United — Actual Match Statistics
Khonkaen Utd squeezed past Muang Thong United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Muang Thong United at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Khonkaen Utd had 58% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 42%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.26 to 0.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Muang Thong United led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Khonkaen Utd and 1.80 for Muang Thong United.
What was the final score of Khonkaen Utd vs Muang Thong United?
Khonkaen Utd 2-1 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Khonkaen Utd vs Muang Thong United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Khonkaen Utd 22%, draw 23%, Muang Thong United 55%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Muang Thong United) went the other way.