Muang Thong United 4-0 Khonkaen Utd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
+0.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Khonkaen Utd EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.73/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.92
+47% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
16.7 Crosses 17.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muang Thong United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Khonkaen Utd
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.57
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
278 Passes 165
75% Pass Accuracy 64%
15 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
06.11.2022 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 1-1 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
20.02.2022 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 2-1 HT 1-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
09.10.2021 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 3-1 HT 0-1 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muang Thong United
4-0
AWAY Khonkaen Utd
3.58 xG 0.54
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
374 Passes 303
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Muang Thong United vs Khonkaen Utd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muang Thong United cruised past Khonkaen Utd 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Muang Thong United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Muang Thong United had 54% of the ball to Khonkaen Utd's 46%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 3.58 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Muang Thong United and 1.33 for Khonkaen Utd.

What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Khonkaen Utd?

Muang Thong United 4-0 Khonkaen Utd in the Thailand - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Khonkaen Utd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 56%, draw 24%, Khonkaen Utd 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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