Chonburi 1-1 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
52%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.43
Over 2.5
61%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
37%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+6.7pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
52%
Away Win
63%
-10.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chonburi EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 67%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
1.19/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.87
+33% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +32%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
270 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 85%
12.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
12.9 Crosses 21.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chonburi
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Buriram United
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.28 xG 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
280 Passes 293
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.01.2023 Buriram United Buriram United 2-0 HT 1-0 Chonburi Chonburi TAY
27.08.2022 Chonburi Chonburi 2-3 HT 1-3 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
09.03.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 2-1 HT 1-0 Chonburi Chonburi TAY
13.11.2021 Chonburi Chonburi 2-0 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chonburi
1-1
AWAY Buriram United
0.76 xG 1.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
283 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chonburi vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chonburi and Buriram United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Buriram United at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Chonburi had 50% of the ball to Buriram United's 50%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.76 to 1.84.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Buriram United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Chonburi and 1.75 for Buriram United.

What was the final score of Chonburi vs Buriram United?

Chonburi 1-1 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chonburi vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Chonburi 23%, draw 25%, Buriram United 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Buriram United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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