Nakhon Pathom 2-1 Trat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Trat EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.00/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-30% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -60%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Pathom
2-1
AWAY Trat
1.13 xG 1.06
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
171 Passes 235
64% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nakhon Pathom vs Trat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Pathom squeezed past Trat 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nakhon Pathom as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nakhon Pathom had 45% of the ball to Trat's 55%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.13 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Nakhon Pathom vs Trat?

Nakhon Pathom 2-1 Trat in the Thailand - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Pathom vs Trat?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Pathom win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Pathom 41%, draw 26%, Trat 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nakhon Pathom), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nakhon Pathom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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