Ratchaburi 1-2 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.07/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.92
+30% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +57%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
16.0 Crosses 15.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bangkok United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.65 xG 1.27
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
187 Passes 397
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2024 Bangkok United Bangkok United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
04.04.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-2 HT 1-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
29.10.2023 Bangkok United Bangkok United 3-1 HT 0-1 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
17.02.2023 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 0-1 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
19.10.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 0-1 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
18.09.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
1-2
AWAY Bangkok United
1.27 xG 1.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 1
341 Passes 392
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United squeezed past Ratchaburi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Bangkok United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 49% of the ball to Bangkok United's 51%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.27 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bangkok United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ratchaburi and 1.00 for Bangkok United.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Bangkok United?

Ratchaburi 1-2 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 35%, draw 31%, Bangkok United 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ratchaburi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✓ BTTS Yes
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