Veres Rivne 0-1 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Cup, 2 Apr 2025

📅02/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.5
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-2.4pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.4pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Veres Rivne EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 52%
+58% / +58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Veres Rivne
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Polessya
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
6 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.03.2025 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne 5-1 HT 2-1 Polessya Polessya UKR
15.09.2024 Polessya Polessya 2-1 HT 0-1 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne UKR
01.12.2023 Polessya Polessya 1-1 HT 0-0 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne UKR
28.07.2023 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne 0-2 HT 0-2 Polessya Polessya UKR
POST-MATCH Veres Rivne vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya nicked a narrow win over Veres Rivne 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Polessya as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Polessya led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Veres Rivne and 1.50 for Polessya.

What was the final score of Veres Rivne vs Polessya?

Veres Rivne 0-1 Polessya in the Ukraine - Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Veres Rivne vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Veres Rivne 23%, draw 34%, Polessya 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polessya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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