Oleksandria vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oleksandria v Shakhtar Donetsk — Team-Based Signals
Oleksandria vs Shakhtar Donetsk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Oleksandria
UKR
1-1
HT 1-0
Shakhtar Donetsk
UKR
2-2
HT 1-1
Oleksandria
UKR
Shakhtar Donetsk nicked a narrow win over Oleksandria 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oleksandria and 2.33 for Shakhtar Donetsk.
What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Oleksandria 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Cup on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oleksandria vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Oleksandria 29%, draw 21%, Shakhtar Donetsk 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.