Veres Rivne 5-1 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
44%
Away Win
44%
-0.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.1pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Veres Rivne EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.24/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.85
+26% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Veres Rivne
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Polessya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
15.09.2024 Polessya Polessya 2-1 HT 0-1 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne UKR
01.12.2023 Polessya Polessya 1-1 HT 0-0 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne UKR
28.07.2023 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne 0-2 HT 0-2 Polessya Polessya UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Veres Rivne
5-1
AWAY Polessya
6 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Veres Rivne vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Veres Rivne ran out comfortable winners over Polessya 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Polessya at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 6-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Polessya led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Veres Rivne and 1.67 for Polessya.

What was the final score of Veres Rivne vs Polessya?

Veres Rivne 5-1 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Veres Rivne vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Veres Rivne 28%, draw 28%, Polessya 44%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Polessya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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