Dynamo Kiev 2-2 Zorya Luhansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.29
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
22%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
73%
-19.4pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.4pp
22%
Away Win
10%
+12.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.2pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +13%
2.27/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.06
+12% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Kiev
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 0-2 HT 0-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
04.04.2024 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 0-3 HT 0-2 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
12.03.2024 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 2-0 HT 1-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
18.03.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 0-1 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
03.09.2022 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 3-2 HT 2-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
12.12.2021 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-1 HT 1-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Kiev
2-2
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
8 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dynamo Kiev vs Zorya Luhansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev and Zorya Luhansk shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Dynamo Kiev at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Kiev had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dynamo Kiev and 0.83 for Zorya Luhansk.

What was the final score of Dynamo Kiev vs Zorya Luhansk?

Dynamo Kiev 2-2 Zorya Luhansk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Kiev vs Zorya Luhansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Kiev 54%, draw 25%, Zorya Luhansk 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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