Oleksandria 4-0 Obolon Kyiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+10.2pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
1.93/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.28
+9% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oleksandria
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Obolon Kyiv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
4 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
17.04.2024 Oleksandria Oleksandria 2-2 HT 0-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
POST-MATCH Oleksandria vs Obolon Kyiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oleksandria cruised past Obolon Kyiv 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oleksandria as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Oleksandria and 1.00 for Obolon Kyiv.

What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Obolon Kyiv?

Oleksandria 4-0 Obolon Kyiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oleksandria vs Obolon Kyiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oleksandria win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Oleksandria 57%, draw 24%, Obolon Kyiv 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oleksandria), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oleksandria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UKR More Ukraine - Premier League
11 Mar 2025
16:30 Veres Rivne vs Polessya Analysis →
16:30 Dynamo Kiev vs Zorya Luhansk Analysis →
19:00 Karpaty Lviv vs Shakhtar Donetsk Analysis →