Karpaty Lviv 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
5.09
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
44%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
17%
+13.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
44%
Away Win
60%
-16.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 64%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -18%
1.56/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.95
+71% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karpaty Lviv
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
14.09.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 5-2 HT 4-1 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
02.11.2019 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 0-3 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
04.08.2019 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 HT 2-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
10.03.2019 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 5-0 HT 3-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
28.09.2018 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-6 HT 0-5 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
04.03.2018 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 0-3 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karpaty Lviv
0-0
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
6 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karpaty Lviv vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karpaty Lviv and Shakhtar Donetsk played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Shakhtar Donetsk at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Karpaty Lviv and 4.17 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

What was the final score of Karpaty Lviv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Karpaty Lviv 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karpaty Lviv vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Karpaty Lviv 30%, draw 26%, Shakhtar Donetsk 44%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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