Coritiba 1-1 Vasco da Gama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 2 Apr 2026

Coritiba
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Vasco da Gama
📅02/04/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Coritiba vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.56
Draw
32%
2.96
Away
33%
2.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.55
Over
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.18
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
15%
5.22
6+
2%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.0
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.15
X/1
14%
5.28
X/2
13%
5.45
X/X
22%
3.61
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
18%
4.21
2/X
5%
14.25
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Coritiba v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Coritiba The Market 39%
Signal
AWAY Vasco da Gama The Market 37%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.04 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.31
1.03 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.24
Bad Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Strong
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 83%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2

Coritiba vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coritiba
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vasco da Gama
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.83 xG 1.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
352 Passes 394
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 5-1 HT 2-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
12.05.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 1-1 HT 1-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
16.10.2021 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-1 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
14.07.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 1-1 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR2
17.01.2021 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-1 HT 0-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
20.09.2020 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1

Coritiba 1-1 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coritiba
1 - 1
AWAY Vasco da Gama
1.58 xG 0.51
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
515 Passes 260
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Coritiba vs Vasco da Gama
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Coritiba and Vasco da Gama couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

The preview numbers (35% / 32% / 33%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Coritiba had 65% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 35%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.58 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Coritiba and 1.50 for Vasco da Gama.

Coritiba vs Vasco da Gama Result & Final Score

Coritiba 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Coritiba vs Vasco da Gama Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 35%, draw 32%, Vasco da Gama 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Coritiba), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coritiba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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