Bahia 3-0 Atletico Paranaense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 2 Apr 2026

📅02/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.74
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
21%
4.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.8
Over
48%
1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.8
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.85
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
21%
3.8
6+
5%
17.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.33
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
19%
4.16
X/2
8%
8.72
X/X
16%
4.59
2/1
3%
25.0
2/2
11%
7.24
2/X
5%
15.75
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bahia The Market 57%
Signal
AWAY Atletico Paranaense The Market 25%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.81 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.11
0.99 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.41
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Strong
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
28 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.54 xG 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
398 Passes 332
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
11.07.2024 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-3 HT 0-2 Bahia Bahia BR1
13.11.2023 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
17.07.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-0 HT 2-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
13.07.2022 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-1 HT 0-1 Bahia Bahia BRK
23.06.2022 Bahia Bahia 1-2 HT 1-2 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahia
3 - 0
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
1.00 xG 0.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
392 Passes 364
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 8
8 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bahia swept aside Atletico Paranaense 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 50%.

The match data tells the story: Bahia had 52% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 48%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.00 to 0.58.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bahia and 1.50 for Atletico Paranaense.

Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense Result & Final Score

Bahia 3 - 0 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bahia 53%, draw 26%, Atletico Paranaense 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bahia) ✗ Under 2.5
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