Botafogo vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Botafogo v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo vs Mirassol FC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Botafogo 3-2 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo squeezed past Mirassol FC 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Botafogo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
By the numbers, Botafogo had 35% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 65%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 2.96 to 1.08 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Botafogo's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Botafogo and 1.50 for Mirassol FC.
Botafogo vs Mirassol FC Result & Final Score
Botafogo 3 - 2 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Botafogo vs Mirassol FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 42%, draw 29%, Mirassol FC 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.