Real Espana 1-0 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
+0.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 50%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +18%
1.05/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.67
-7% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +82%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
251 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
0W-2D-4L
AWAY CD Olimpia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.04.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
12.02.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
02.10.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
06.08.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-0 HT 2-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
09.04.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
12.02.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana squeezed past CD Olimpia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Espana and 1.83 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs CD Olimpia?

Real Espana 1-0 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 25%, draw 28%, CD Olimpia 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Olimpia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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