CD Olimpia 3-1 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.0
Over 2.5
61%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.95
No
43%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
65%
-4.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
46%
-7.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
54%
+7.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.7pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
2.17/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.67
+11% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Real Espana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
02.10.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
06.08.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-0 HT 2-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
09.04.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
12.02.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
20.10.2022 Real Espana Real Espana 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia beat Real Espana 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Olimpia and 0.33 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Real Espana?

CD Olimpia 3-1 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 61%, draw 22%, Real Espana 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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